Founding Five Edition · self-paced

Find out whether your edge survives costs.

Interpret the contract, freeze the evidence and forecast, model the executable quote, fees and slippage, then export a decision another person can audit—before you risk a dollar.

Paper trading only Recorded evidence hashes Bounded written support
What you build

A decision system you can audit.

The original 114-page course and 11-sheet workbook teach students to keep the contract, evidence, forecast, executable quote, friction and decision separate. You finish with records another person can reproduce—not screenshots of lucky outcomes.

1

Contract audit

Translate the proposition, deadline, settlement source and edge cases.

2

Evidence discipline

Timestamp sources, separate observation from inference and prevent hindsight contamination.

3

Forecast record

Freeze probability, range, assumptions and disconfirming evidence before comparison.

4

Market friction

Model side-specific quotes, tick rounding, slippage and price-dependent fees.

5

Paper operations

Use the local simulator for opens, closes, official settlement and reconciliation.

6

Defensible review

Grade process quality without pretending paper profit predicts future returns.

Inside the original course

Fourteen modules. A working record from each.

The complete manual includes worked examples, exercises, answer keys and assessment criteria. Read seven original pages before you apply.

01 · Contract and resolution

M00–M02: establish the operating standard, interpret contract wording, and document ambiguous settlement rules.

02 · Data and forecasting

M03–M05: check API provenance, classify evidence and sources, and record calibrated probabilities with uncertainty.

03 · Market and model

M06–M08: read quotes and liquidity, reject false cross-market equivalence, and build an inspectable model card.

04 · Risk and accounting

M09–M11: set exposure limits, run a deterministic backtest, and reconcile paper positions and settlement.

05 · Assurance and capstone

M12–M13: write an operations runbook and start a 30-record evidence portfolio. Resolved records take real elapsed time beyond the 14-day setup.

Included working tools

11-sheet workbook, 29-slide teaching deck, local paper trader and exportable decision records.

The full 114-page manual, workbook and deck are delivered to accepted paid members. Read the dated platform and source register (PDF).

Free diagnostic

The seven-point pre-trade audit.

If one control fails, stop and record why.

01
Proposition
Exact YES condition.
02
Resolution
Source, deadline and edge cases.
03
Evidence
Dated, attributable and cutoff eligible.
04
Forecast
Probability and range frozen first.
05
Execution
Correct side, quote, time and spread.
06
Friction
Fees, slippage and uncertainty.
07
Risk
Position and portfolio limits.
The category gap

Not another lecture-only trading course.

Paper Trading Console turns the method into a working evidence system. Students can classify evidence, export a record hash and review a paper position against its recorded assumptions.

Separate evidence classes
Observations, assumptions, inferences and unknowns never collapse into one vague note.
One-click audit PDF
Export the proposition, resolution source, probability range, provenance and SHA-256 record hash.
Progress and integrity checks
Track self-reported module artifacts, a thirty-record portfolio target and ledger/hash checks; human review remains necessary.
Failure stays visible
Rejected contracts and open integrity gates count as evidence, not embarrassment.
Paper trading Decision evidence Progress & capstone
Exact proposition
The selected contract resolves YES under the published market rule.
Evidence classification
Observation · Assumption · Inference · Unknown
Sealed output
Decision Audit PDF · SHA-256 evidence hash
14 modules course scope
30 records portfolio target
Paper only simulation mode
See the actual system

The course, working tools and console belong together.

The founding package is a complete paper-operations environment. These are production artifacts from the delivered course, not stock mockups.

Course workbook dashboard

11-sheet operating workbook

Forecast journal, evidence register, resolution audit, liquidity, risk, backtest, operations and capstone.

Prediction Market Systems teaching deck

114-page method + 29-slide deck

Fourteen sequenced modules with worked cases, exercises, answer keys and non-compensable integrity gates.

Forecast journal in the course workbook

Evidence-to-reconciliation records

Record the proposition, evidence, forecast, execution, friction, settlement and review without collapsing them together.

Private software delivery

The app is included. It is delivered after acceptance and payment.

The full application is a private customer download, not a free public web app. It runs locally, requests no exchange credentials and cannot place real orders.

1

Apply

We confirm that the paper-only program, timetable and computer requirements fit.

2

Pay securely

Accepted applicants use the Stripe payment page for the US$199 founding seat.

3

Receive private access

We send the complete ZIP, launcher, manual, workbook, deck and onboarding instructions by email.

Founding offer

Fourteen days from setup to audited paper workflow.

Five accepted founding customers complete the system independently. Structured task evidence and feedback determine what must be fixed before wider release.

Days 1–2 — Setup and boundaries
Install the local app, confirm paper mode and establish the evidence register.
Days 3–5 — Contract and forecasting
Complete a contract audit, source map, base rate and sealed forecast range.
Days 6–10 — Execution and reconciliation
Model quotes, slippage, fees, exposure and reconcile the ledger.
Days 11–14 — Review and portfolio start
Export decision audits and begin the evidence portfolio; thirty resolved records require additional real elapsed time.
Self-paced delivery
No classes, scheduled calls or compulsory meeting times. Work through the implementation sequence on your own timetable.
Bounded written support
Installation and supplied-material questions are handled asynchronously for 14 calendar days after access.
Who it is for

Process-minded people, not tip seekers.

Good fit

You value evidence and reproducible records; you can use Windows or install Python 3.11+.

Wrong fit

You want signals, copy trades, guaranteed returns or a route around eligibility rules.

Commitment

About 45–75 minutes per day, one feedback interview and anonymised pilot metrics.

Plain-English terms

The boundaries are part of the product.

Paper trading only

The app requests no exchange credentials and submits no real orders. This is education, not financial advice.

Founding refund promise

If a critical defect prevents completion, or the supplied app cannot be installed after reasonable support, request a full refund within 14 days of access.

No performance promise

Completion and simulated results do not guarantee profit. Markets, APIs, fees and eligibility rules change.

Independent product: not affiliated with, sponsored by or endorsed by Polymarket. Participation does not establish eligibility for any real-money platform.
Application

Apply for a founding licence.

Complete the secure online application below. No payment is collected here. Accepted applicants receive the US$199 payment and onboarding instructions separately.

Application received. We will review it and reply with acceptance and payment instructions. If you have already been accepted, complete the secure US$199 payment here .

Application details are used only to assess product fit and provide onboarding. Do not include financial credentials or sensitive personal information.

What you receive here

Training, software and evidence in one workflow.

Video lessons and standalone simulators can teach or practise pieces of the process. This founding package supplies the written method, local paper trader and review artifacts together.

Learn the method

A 114-page manual, fourteen lab modules, worked solutions, a workbook and teaching deck cover contract rules through reconciliation.

Practise in software

The local console uses public market data when available and labelled samples otherwise. It never submits real orders.

Defend the result

Record evidence classes, export audit records, track module work and test ledger integrity. An instructor must still review the quality of the submitted reasoning.

This comparison describes the supplied product, not a claim that no competitor offers any of these individual features.

Questions

Straight answers.

Does the app place real trades?

No. It is a local paper simulator with no live-order path.

Why is there an application?

The Founding Five release is limited to five accepted customers so installation, completion evidence and product defects can be observed before wider release. No call is required.

What teaching materials do I receive?

The full 114-page manual, 11-sheet workbook, 29-slide deck, local Paper Trading Console, decision-audit exports, verified worked case and 14 days of bounded written support.

Will this help me make better market decisions?

Yes. You will practise interpreting contract rules, testing evidence and probabilities, accounting for spread and fees, sizing risk and reviewing decisions in a paper account. Those skills can inform later choices if you are eligible to trade. Completing the course does not establish a profitable strategy or guarantee income.

What happens next?

Material findings are fixed. The next 20 seats may open at US$249 after completion evidence and genuine testimonials.

Apply for US$199